At state level, I'll be surprised if there's not a backlash against Labor. There's a lot of people a tad upset about them being obviously in the pocket of a big company. There won't be a state election for a while & voters seems to have short memories, but even at the last election the Greens were looking to benefit at Labor's expense, until a last minute bit of underhandness (allegedly). The situation has only got worse since then.
Federal politics though, I don't know.
Locally, I think Ferguson is right and he's on the way out. He wasn't looking that good beforehand. OTOH, judging by this week's mailout, he's trying to focus on the other big issue, hospital funding. Election campaigning is interesting when you live in a marginal electorate.
Nationally, I don't think it will make much difference. Maybe if they'd come back with 'No', it might have had an impart.
There's a lot of comparisons with the Franklin Dam, which lead to Labor easily taking government. A closer comparison though, is with Wesley Vale: big company wanting to build a pulp mill on the edge of Bass Strait. Except the politics was the opposite: Liberal had government in the state, to the Labor's federal government. The result of that, the Libs were replaced by a Labor-Green accord & Federal Labor were returned at the next election. Which is probably how it'll play out, with the impact at state level (althoug I can't see a Liberal-Green accord happening).
no subject
Date: 2007-10-06 02:31 am (UTC)At state level, I'll be surprised if there's not a backlash against Labor. There's a lot of people a tad upset about them being obviously in the pocket of a big company. There won't be a state election for a while & voters seems to have short memories, but even at the last election the Greens were looking to benefit at Labor's expense, until a last minute bit of underhandness (allegedly). The situation has only got worse since then.
Federal politics though, I don't know.
Locally, I think Ferguson is right and he's on the way out. He wasn't looking that good beforehand. OTOH, judging by this week's mailout, he's trying to focus on the other big issue, hospital funding. Election campaigning is interesting when you live in a marginal electorate.
Nationally, I don't think it will make much difference. Maybe if they'd come back with 'No', it might have had an impart.
There's a lot of comparisons with the Franklin Dam, which lead to Labor easily taking government. A closer comparison though, is with Wesley Vale: big company wanting to build a pulp mill on the edge of Bass Strait. Except the politics was the opposite: Liberal had government in the state, to the Labor's federal government. The result of that, the Libs were replaced by a Labor-Green accord & Federal Labor were returned at the next election. Which is probably how it'll play out, with the impact at state level (althoug I can't see a Liberal-Green accord happening).